Western Europe is gripped by a blistering heatwave, with several countries breaking June temperature records. Roads in France are melting, Britain has closed schools and cancelled hospital appointments, and the continent is warming faster than any other.
Our analysis looks at which cities might suffer most this time round, with death tolls determined not just by absolute temperatures, but by how unusual they are.
Researchers modelled the relationship between temperature and mortality in 854 cities across Europe, finding that freakishly high temperatures are far more deadly in cities like Manchester than in Madrid.
The current heatwave could cause around 12,000 excess deaths in just three days, with Paris's mortality rate rising by more than 300%, the biggest increase in our analysis.
London's risk of death could surge by roughly 200%, and Milan's by 170%, with thousands of Europeans dying every summer.
Older residents tend to be most vulnerable, with 85% of last year's victims over the age of 65, and studies have found that women are more affected than men and big cities fare worse than smaller ones.
